Archive for the ‘PS3, PS4’ Category

Weekly News Roundup (15 June 2008)

Sunday, June 15th, 2008

June 15th sounds like it should be exactly the middle of the year, but it’s not due to February being an idiot and not having enough days, and July and August conspiring together to win the “two consecutive months of the year with the most number of days” award. The news is a bit thin this week, so please bear or bare with me depending on your mood.

CopyrightIn copyright news, the MPAA recently said they plan to release on HD movies for public/paid broadcast before they are available to purchase on discs, but as part of this arrangement, they also want the ability to prevent recordings of these types of content. One senses that releasing movies early is almost just an excuse for the MPAA to ensure they can get this type of copy control rammed past the FCC regulators, who currently prohibits the use of such technology. Say no to the MPAAOf course, even with the most sophisticated copy protection technology, as long as one can physically view the content, one will find a way to record it, even if through “lowly” analogue means. The FCC, like most people, are a bit wary of the MPAA’s intentions and have opened the petition to the public for comments. I suggest that if you have a couple of minutes to spare, you read the MPAA proposal and then complete the form to add your comments here. We must send a message to the MPAA that we can no longer tolerate their attack on our personal freedoms. The line must be drawn here! This far and no farther!

The Canadians are fighting a fight of their own as well, as new proposed copyright legislations, dubbed the “Northern DMCA”, will ensure police powers to fine copyright offenders. Of course, the police are not that happy, as they would prefer to be out there catching real criminals, not so called copyright abusers which even the likes of the MPAA and RIAA would have difficulty proving guilty/innocent in court (find out how the RIAA catches copyright offenders). As expected, the protest online is getting louder and louder, so hopefully the Canadian government will take their lips off the copyright lobby’s ass for a second and listen to the people who elected them to power.

And as if things can’t get any worse. Well, they can. New proposals doing the rounds and written up by the United States proposes draconian measures to stop digital copyright theft, including on the spot searches, seizures and destruction of digital devices suspected of carrying pirated content all without the right to ask for a lawyer or the right of appeal. It looks like the US has been talking to North Korean about more than just nuclear arms, they are getting a few pointers too on how on policing “inappropriate” content.

High DefinitionOnto HD news now, another week, another rumour of an Xbox 360 Blu-ray drive, and yet another rumour being shot down. Read what I posted in the link to see who I think is making up and spreading these rumours, and why. Meanwhile, the previous HD DVD studios move to Blu-ray is gaining momentum, as Paramount launches a Blu-ray support site. Despite what you’ve read in the news, Blu-ray sales are still pretty sluggish, even compared to the quickly declining DVD sales. With a possible US recession coming, the studios are extremely worried about what the future may bring and they are desperate for Blu-ray to succeed (and by success, I mean increase profits). But who knows, perhaps desperation is exactly what the format needs, as this could mean more movies released for less money per movie, with a slight premium over DVDs but nothing that would turn people off.

The other approach is to make the discs more feature packed. Something that Toshiba tried to do from day one with HD DVD, with very limited success. Disney wants to add a chat feature to its Blu-ray releases, made possible by Profile 2.0 hardware (more reasons to get one or wait to get one, as opposed to buying 1.1 players). HD DVDs have had this and similar features for ages, and it didn’t seem to help much, so I don’t know if this is the way to go. But expect more and more “Web 2.0” type features to be added to Blu-ray discs.

Pirates - Blu-ray PornPorn, the great teat from which the DVD format has sucked from to gain strength, is another potential saviour of Blu-ray. But do people really want to see *that* and *those* in high def glory? And does it add, or detract from the experience? Or perhaps people won’t be able to tell much difference at all? With a limited production budget, porn films probably don’t benefit much from the increased resolution as say your typical Michael Bay effort, even if the former usually has a better script.

GamingAnd finally in gaming, there’s not much going except for the NPD figures released, which I have already blogged on yesterday. The porn article link above says Blu-ray hardware sales are plummeting, which might explains the spate of Blu-ray sales that are going on at the moment. I don’t know if that’s true or not, but certainly, the PS3 hasn’t been selling in the numbers the “best Blu-ray player on the market” and the “most technically sophisticated game console” should expect. Even compared to the dodgy, somewhat ugly and noisy beast that is the Xbox 360, or the Gamecube with a new controller that is the Wii, it isn’t doing too well, not for a console that has never beaten both of its competitors since launch, and has only beaten the half-broken 360 twice or thrice monthly in a year and a half worth of results. But then again, it’s still quite expensive, so a price drop will do wonders for it. PS3’s 80010514 disk read errorAlthough be on the look out for more and more stories regarding a potential design fault with the PS3 in relation to the Blu-ray drive, which has been known to crap out after about a year’s use. This one could rival the 360 RRoD as a source of headache for gamers and Blu-ray owners alike, with upwards of 10% to 15% of PS3s being affected. This number is a conservative estimate based on forum posts, first hand accounts of retailers and online poll results.

That’s the news for this week. More next week as usual. Hasta la vista.

Game Consoles – May 2008 NPD Sales Figure Analysis

Saturday, June 14th, 2008

May 2008’s NPD figures are out. While not entirely surprising, but it is still somewhat of a shock that GTA IV had absolutely no effect on console sales, and April wasn’t just a statistical anomaly. The Wii is on a wiinner and it’s outselling both the PS3 and the Xbox 360 left and right. The PS3, at least, can claim to have beaten the 360, but as you will read on, the signs are not all that great for both of these console heavy hitters, not when the featherweight is running away with it like that. My prediction from last month was not correct at all, as there wasn’t a bump in hardware sales due to GTA IV. The while I was right in that the 360’s lead would narrow, it has narrowed so much that it’s now a negative. But I least I got the bit about GTA IV selling well and the 360 version selling better right, although any idiot with a keyboard could have come up with that. You can read last month’s analysis here. The figures are from NPD, a marketing research firm that releases games console sale data every month.

The figures for US sales in May are below, ranked in order of number of sales:

  • Wii: 675,100 (Total: 10.2 million)  
  • DS: 452,600 (Total: 20.1 million)  
  • PSP: 182,300 (Total: 11.7 million)
  • Xbox 360: 186,600 (Total: 10.3 million)
  • PS3: 208,700 (Total: 4.4 million)
  • PS2: 132,700 (Total: 42.2 million)
  • NPD May 2008 Game Console US Sales Figures

    NPD Game Console Total US Sales Figures (as of May 2008)

    As mentioned above, GTA IV had almost no effect on console sales. This is a bit odd, but if you think about it, perhaps makes sense. GTA IV is the game that everybody knew was coming, and it is very likely the people who wanted the game will have purchased consoles ahead of time. If GTA IV had been the first good game on either consoles, then perhaps this would lead to bigger hardware sales as people who waited now finally have a reason to go for it. But that’s not the case, since both the 360 and to a lesser degree, the PS3, already have a pretty good range of games to attract even sandbox style game fans like myself (Crackdown, Saints Row are two examples for the 360).

    Sony will be the happier of the two companies. The PS3 outselling the 360 might be a fixture for the future, but I can’t help but feel that, at least when compared to the Wii, both consoles are plateauing or decline, with the 360 declining a bit faster than the PS3. The PS3 is also more than just a games console, it is (in my opinion anyway) the best Blu-ray player on the market for now, so even if it isn’t selling as a games console, it will sell as a Blu-ray player. I have a PS3 and I don’t play games on it, but it is probably the most used piece of equipment in my home theatre at the moment.

    Both consoles will have to do several things before it can fully take on the Wii. Microsoft may look towards having a Wii style controller, which when added to its very good Xbox Live Arcade system, might mean cheap Wii style games in HD – quite attractive for those that like the Wii’s control system, but not the (sub) SD graphics. Making the “box” more attractive, at least more reliable and less noisy, should also be on the list of “todos” at Microsoft HQ. The PS3 will simply have to drop in price to make it competitive, plus time will give it a better games lineup as compared to the 360. So it’s not over for either consoles, but their current way of thinking does seem a bit outdated compared to what’s happening around them.

    I won’t say too much about Nintendo and the Wii , except to say that they’ve been extremely clever in marketing games to non gamers. What was once considered a suicide mission by many in the industry now look like a stroke of genius (as often the case). Even the DS is marketed differently than say the PSP, which is still aimed at the traditional male demographic. When girls barely in primary school are playing DS, you know you’re onto something.

    Let’s have a look at the software figures now. Again it highlights the problem for both Microsoft and Sony. While both had a top 10 title, with Microsoft occupying the top position, it is still a disappointing month for both console giants as Nintendo almost dominated every other position. The only good news for Microsoft this month was that GTA IV on the 360 outsold the PS3 again, this time by an even bigger margin to take it into an almost exactly 2:1 lead (66.3% versus 33.7%). The PS3 only had one game in the top 10 at 4th, which was GTA IV.

    1. Grand Theft Auto IV (Xbox 360, Rockstar) – 871,000
    2. Mario Kart w/ Wheel (Wii, Nintendo) – 784,700
    3. Wii Fit w/Board (Wii, Nintendo) – 687,700 
    4. Grand Theft Auto IV (PS3, Rockstar) – 442,900
    5. Wii Play w/ Remote (Wii, Nintendo) – 294,600
    6. Super Smash Bros. Brawl (Wii, Nintendo) – 171,100
    7. Iron Man (PS2, Sega) – 130,600
    8. Guitar Hero III: Legends of Rock (Wii, Activision) – 116,800
    9. Pokemon Mystery Dungeon:  Explorers of Darkness (DS, Nintendo) – 107,000
    10. Pokemon Mystery Dungeon:  Explorers of Time (DS, Nintendo) – 102,000

    So while Nintendo has dominated hardware sales for a long time now, that hardware dominance is finally translating into software sales. The Wii, out of the top 10 titles, held 55.4% of the market, with the Xbox 360 down to 23.5% and the PS3 at 12%. The only slight problem for Nintendo, and I mentioned it last month too, is that all of it’s top games are first party games, games that are made by Nintendo. It seems other software publishers either don’t want to, or don’t know how to yet make good games for the console, which is a tricky proposition compared to your standard video game (and standard control system). But as long as Nintendo can come out with innovations such as Wii Fit every year or so, the Wii looks set to dominate for a long time.

    So onto June next. I don’t think I will make a prediction, but things will probably look similar to this month. Maybe the 360/PS3 positions will be reversed, or the lead narrowed/deepened depending on what games are coming out, but it won’t really make much of a difference to the Wii’s lead anyway. And with GTA IV sales dropping back, total software sales will be down, and it will be interesting to see if Mario Kart and/or Wii Fit can even claim top spot for next month. Until then, have a good one!

    Weekly News Roundup (8 June 2008)

    Sunday, June 8th, 2008

    Still a little bit late this week, but nowhere near as bad as last week. Just having an extremely slow day today for some reason, and weren’t able to get around to do this week’s WNR until just now. No exploding transformers to blame this week.

    CopyrightLet’s start with copyright news as per usual. In another case of copyright gone map, the MPAA has sued two printers. That’s right, two printers. What happened was that some researchers decided to spoof some IP addresses and see if the MPAA’s “piracy catcher” can be fooled into thinking some fake IPs (associated with the printers) are actually pirates. This proves that the MPAA’s piracy detection method is far from foolproof, and this should be interesting for future court cases. The music industry has finally gotten around to suing members of OiNK, the music sharing site that was closed some time ago. Six members have been sued, so I guess only a couple of hundred thousand more to go! OiNKAnd even the big boys aren’t safe, as I hinted at last week – Yahoo has been sued by an India music company. Search engines probably link to more illegal activity than any other site, but that’s the way search engines work – bots don’t care or know what is legal and what is illegal, so why should search engines be punished for something they did not create (and only link to, and not intentionally either)? But I’m sure the big boys can take care of themselves. It’s the little guys that we all need to worry about, because we could be next!

    And Canada is going after the little guys by introducing a $500 fine for illegal downloads. Will the police enforce this? Do they have the technical ability to monitor, detect and not get fooled by IP spoofing? And just because I downloaded something illegal, how can you prove that I did it intentionally, or perhaps just followed the wrong link somewhere?

    High DefinitionOnto HD news now, most of this week’s news has been computer related, which I guess will be one of the major markets that the Blu-ray people will go after. First up, LG announced a 6x Blu-ray burner drive, finally getting burn speeds that won’t make you wait an hour or more to burn an entire disc. What is also interesting, as I pointed out in the link, is that LG is heavily discounting their older Blu-ray burner drives, which also reads HD DVDs … I’ve seen them for less than $ 280, down from their original price of more than $500 here in Australia. Could be a good bargain to pick up, especially if you have some HD DVD discs (the fire sales are still going on, with most of the new ones happening in the UK). Of course, having a drive is probably not enough to play movies, if your computer is not up to scratch. Blu-ray Decoder CardBlu-ray playback is one of the more processor intensive activities you will do on your computer, not that much behind playing the latest games at the higher quality and resolutions. So if your computer is not up to it, you can buy a Blu-ray decoder card which takes most of the work away from your CPU/GPU to give you smooth Blu-ray playback. Those who are old enough will remember the Sigma RealMagic line of DVD decoder cards that were popular towards the end of the 90’s – this is basically the same thing for a new century.

    For those that do have the power required, but still scratching their heads wondering how to get true high bitrate audio from the Blu-ray discs to your AV receiver, you can use Asus’ new HDMI sound card to transport the audio streams to your receiver to decode (or decode them in software/on the card and output up to 7.1 channels in PCM). It was always a matter of time before HDMI sound cards became available, although since HDMI is also used for video, there is some confusion as to who should be making these cards: the graphics card companies, or the audio card companies. I think you will see similar offerings from traditional graphics card manufacturers too (and since Asus makes both types of cards, they are the perfect candidate to be releasing something like this).

    Before moving onto gaming, I must mention the PS3 again as a Blu-ray player. It still makes more sense now than building a dedicated computer based solution. Of course, as a Blu-ray player, the PS3 is hardly the most efficient power user – something like 10W for standalones compared to 160W for the PS3. But the PS3 has many uses, and you can now even turn one into a fully fleged computer running Linux (Ubuntu), Asus Eee PCand dual-boot into the normal PS3 operating system with ease (and hence, not ruining any of the PS3’s original functionalities). All you need is a bigger hard-drive, because 40/60/80 GB is not big enough. But the trend these days is on the small and efficient, not the big, powerful and versatile. Asus’ Eee PC is just the first in a line of new portable computer designed to not to do everything, but to do enough to warrant a place in your home.

    GamingProperly onto gaming now, the PS3 wants to be a Wii. The Wii-envy by Microsoft and Sony is beginning to become quite obvious. PS3 games can also now using in game advertising to generate income. Perhaps this will lead to cheaper game prices. PS-WiiNielsen, the well known research agency, has come up with figures showing that the Xbox 360 dominates the console usage charts, with both young and older users preferring it over the Wii (second place) and the PS3 (third place). If a serious problem like the RRoD haven’t killed off the Xbox 360, then there’s a good reason and it is because it’s a great games console, despite all the problems. The Wii might be innovative and fun to use, but I haven’t used mine for weeks now, and I still haven’t used the PS3 for gaming yet. Bad news for 360 owners though is that the exclusive downloads for GTA IV is being delayed to early 2009, as opposed to late 2008. Not a huge problem of course as there’s just so much stuff to do in GTA IV that I don’t think people will be finished with the main game by then (well, not me anyway, but I’m the type to stretch out a game over a really really long time – I still haven’t finished Twilight Princess!).

    That’s the news for this week. The website (and myself) is still recovering from the great datacenter disaster of 2008. Next week should see slowly come back to normal. Can’t say that for me personally though, since I haven’t been normal since I was a little kid (and I wasn’t that normal back then either).

    Weekly News Roundup (1 June 2008) – The Late Edition

    Tuesday, June 3rd, 2008

    “Better late than never” is probably the best phrase to use right now. As you may have read about elsewhere, the server in which this site/blog was hosted went down around Saturday evening (US central time) and did not come back up until late Sunday evening, a downtime of about 30 hours. You can read the details of this incident here.

    Anyway, the show must go on and I bring you this late edition of the WNR. The last few days haven’t been very pleasant, and I’m sure it was more unpleasant for the people who worked hard to restore services.

    CopyrightIn copyright news, in a reverse of what normally happens, someone working for a bittorrent tracker has managed to infiltrate into an anti-piracy lobby. I’m sure very useful information was obtained which would help protect trackers from further assaults in the future. And these assaults are gathering pace too, with Usenet indexers the next target. These lobby groups and organisations, such as the MPAA, are very powerful indeed and somewhat shady in their dealings with various government bodies around the world (but then again, which lobby group isn’t?). Even the big boys, this time Google, is struggling to deal with the assuault by anti-piracy groups which could threaten the very foundations of the modern Internet. I know Google have their own self interests to take care of, but when they say the situation is this serious, I tend to believe them. There will be a day when lawmakers and judges make a new law or ruling that will threaten the very existence of the Internet, because if linking to (but not hosting) questionable content is illegal, then the Internet itself is under thread. NewzbinThe nature of the Internet is a web of links, so every site can be linked eventually to any other site. Google’s search engine links to probably every site in the world … some of them are indeed questionable, but does that make Google liable for these bad links, or the people who actually created and host the bad content?

    And what about when people download something illegal. Is it the fault of the person who did it, or the fault of the ISP who allowed the person to do it? Groups like the RIAA or MPAA seem to want ISPs to take action and filter out “bad” content, as it’s much easier to control (and sue) ISPs than it is to tackle individuals. When big businesses force other businesses such as ISPs to determine what you can and cannot do with services you’ve paid for, then we’re in real trouble folks!

    High DefinitionOnto HD news, good news for Michael Bay’s Transformers fans, the Blu-ray version of Transformers is coming to a store near you in September. Michael Bay has been a proponent of Blu-ray for quite a while, even though Transformers up until now has only been available in HD exclusively on the HD DVD format. It will be interesting to see if Blu-ray technology can turn a bad piece of filmmaking and scripting into a good movie. Lord of the Rings Fake HD DVD - Real Blu-ray coming soon?More good news, but this time for a good Director’s good movies, is that Peter Jackson’s The Lord of the Rings trilogy is being worked on for Blu-ray as I type, with a tentative release date of 2009. I already have 2 copies of each movie (standard and the collector’s edition), but I think I might want this third copy too.

    There are also some good news in hardware too, with Wal-Mart introducing $298 Blu-ray players. The players, under the Magnavox brand and manufactured by Funai (as reported in the WNR two editions ago), are only Profile 1.1 though, which lacks support for Internet connected features (Profile 2.0) found in quite a few new movie releases. And for $50 more, you can pick up a Samsung Blu-ray player that does support Profile 2.0 and more audio decoding features, so perhaps it isn’t a bargain after all. Once players reach down to $198, then we might see a surge in sales. At the other end of the hardware pricing scale, is this new Blu-ray/HDD (500 GB) recorder by Panasonic. Panasonic DMR-BW500Retailing for more than $2,000, it is strictly in the realm of early adopters, and with news of a new 1 TB (that’s 1,000 GB) disc format that is backwards compatible with Blu-ray, perhaps Blu-ray as a recording format won’t even get off the ground. Even Sony is moving away from Blu-ray based camcorders to use solid state storage, which is cheaper, faster and comes in larger capacities (and less prone to damage too). And what about Blu-ray audio-only discs? One is available already, and there’s no technical reason why they cannot be produced en mass since it’s basically just a normal Blu-ray movie with a static video track.

    Toshiba (haven’t mentioned them in a while) is trying to get back into the digital video scene by releasing updated specs for the DVD format, which allows HD content to be stored on regular DVDs and played back on enhanced DVD players. Toshiba is a major player in the DVD industry, having received most of the royalties from the format, so is Blu-ray fails, then enhanced DVD+HD might be more attractive to consumers. I doubt it though, because I think the boat has been missed in regards to upgrading the DVD format, which was Toshiba first suggestion when Sony came up with Blu-ray. But there is no reason why you cannot store 720p content onto a dual layer DVD and still get excellent quality. But it will mean an upgrade to the hardware anyway to add new video decoding suppoirt, even though the disc format hasn’t changed.

    GamingIn gaming news, the Xbox 360 has basically won the GTA IV war as more and mores stats indicate it has benefited more than the PS3. One will have to wait to see if this is a long term victory, or just the last hurrah before the PS3 takes over as the dominant console of this generation, but only if you completely ignore that little white box with the blue glowing lights and funny controllers. Microsoft and Sony likes to dismiss it as a fad, even though both are working on similar style controllers for their own systems.

    And how everything could have been so different, with Sony finally admitting that the PS3 was on life support during it’s very much trouble launch. Had the PS3 failed then, albeit very unlikely to happen in any case due to the PS2’s dominance, Blu-ray would have lost too and who knows what other changes there might have been. A HD DVD based Toshiba GameStation? A Sony PS4 that is basically a clone of the Wii? An Xbox 720 that still RRoDs within the first three months? Actually that last part might not be too far off from the truth …

    Okay, that’s it for “this” week. More WNR in 5 days time, hopefully the server will still be online at that time.

    Weekly News Roundup (18 May 2008)

    Sunday, May 18th, 2008

    If I was a bit negative towards GTA IV last week, then I apologise. After another week with the game, I must say I’m now hooked. It’s always this way with games, first impressions can be a bit weak because you’re still finding your feet within the gaming world, but after a while when everything becomes second nature, it all feels like a much better experience. The one problem I have with the game so far (only 30% complete) is that there’s not a lot of things you could buy, no assets, only 3 different types of clothing store so far … I’ve got nothing to spend the couple of grand I’ve already saved up, only on ammunition which doesn’t cost that much. I’m sure I’ll have a different experience next week. Okay, onto the news.

    CopyrightIn copyright news, in a preview of what a DRM infested future might be like, NBC-Universal accidentally enabled what is known as a “Broadcast-Flag”, which prevents recording of the content through software that supports the flag. One such software was Microsoft Windows Vista Media Center, and when it detected the flag, Broadcast Flagit immediately shut off the recording function, forcing many people to miss out on NBC programs that they had planned to time-shift (time-shifting means recording and then viewing programs after their original airing date, which is perfectly legal and a protected right under US law). NBC says it was an accident, and perhaps that’s what it was. But the design and incorporation of Broadcast-Flags into software is no accident, and in this case, it worked exactly as it should have. A worrying sign for the future, I’m afraid.

    Before moving off to HD entirely, in a possible bid to fight against piracy, studios are planning to offer HD Video-On-Demand shortly after their theatrical debut, long before the movie becomes available on DVD or Blu-ray. Will it work? If the price is right, anything could work. Unfortunately, I suspect the price won’t be right.

    High DefinitionOnto HD news proper, Wal-Mart will soon offer a sub-$300 Blu-ray player, possibly from Japanese firm Funai. The player will be Profile 1.1 compatible, but as you would expect from a budget model, would be missing out on a few features. Considering that HD DVD broke the sub-$100 barrier back in November of last year, this isn’t really something to get excited about, and with fully featured Samsung Profile 2.0 players and even Sony players to be available at retail for $50 to $100 more, this “budget” player may not find a market. Once Blu-ray reaches the sub-$200 mark, adoption rates should increase dramatically. For those using the PS3 as their Blu-ray player (me included), I still believe it is currently the best Blu-ray player on the market. Performance (quality and speed), features (Profile 2.0, large storage, wireless connection) and format support (decoding of all major audio formats to PCM 5.1) is what sets it apart from other players. Pricing is a bit higher, but remember you also get a media center/hub, Internet browser and of course, games machine for the price. But the PS3 as a Blu-ray player does have some limitations, but if you click on the link and see the comments, you’ll find that these are minor irritations at best. The one thing that the article has not mentioned and which I think is the biggest drawback of the PS3 as a Blu-ray player is that it’s not a standalone Blu-ray player … everyone knows it’s a game machine, it looks like a game machine and it just doesn’t fit in with your other HT equipment (there’s no LED display on the machine, for one).

    While somewhat related to Sony’s victory in the HD format war, their profits are up as well to almost record levels. This is despite them still losing money on every PS3 sold, with claims that it is as high as $260 per unit. With PS3 software sales fairly limp (and software sales are where money is made in terms of game consoles), it would explain why PS3 price drops are just not happening at the moment, at least not as frequent as Xbox 360’s. But as a Blu-ray player and as a player that helped Sony win the HD war, the loss is probably worth it, because defeat in the format war was unthinkable.

    But winning the HD war may have only decided which format loses the war against DVDs and downloads. A survey by well respected Harris Poll indicated that only 9% of non Blu-ray owners wanted one in the next year, despite being told that Blu-ray is the definitive HD format. Polls, stats, lies, damned lies and all that of course, but the general apathy is understandable as many people don’t know or care about the difference between composite and HDMI (I even know people who connect their PS3 using composite to HDTVs with HDMI inputs). It’s hard for people like me and people reading this to believe, but when you add in the good quality picture you get from upscaling DVDs, Blu-ray’s higher prices doesn’t seem all that attractive. And speaking of polls, I recently ran a few and while they are hardly scientific, but they do paint an interesting picture just before and just after the collapse of HD DVD … a future blog entry will hopefully analyse the results in detail.

    Project RémouladeWhile Blu-ray uptake might be relatively sluggish, the uptake of H.264, one of the video formats used by Blu-ray (actually, it’s now the most favoured format used by Blu-ray) is doing well. A couple of months ago I reported DivX purchasing MainConcept, which developed their own H.264 codec. The takeover is beginning to bear fruit with a beta program now available to test DivX’s own H.264 decoder, which is said to be even faster than CoreAVC. A decoder is only a step away from a encoder, and it’s easy to see where DivX’s future is headed (and one that I predicted long ago … pat on back for myself!). The project is codenamed “Project Rémoulade”, which is a reference to Project Mayo, the one that started the modern DivX codec.

    And Blockbuster have turned a profit despite the video rental industry suffering a bit recently. The profit comes from sales of PS3s, Blu-rays, video games, which is in growth right now compared to the slowing video market. Why is this important news? It is important because it shows the convergence of the key video, electronics and video games markets, with the PS3 a prime example of “swiss-knife” type gadgets that aims to do everything. This very website/blog/newsletter is example of this convergence, as it’s hard now to cover Blu-ray but not the PS3, for example.

    GamingAnd so we converge seamlessly onto gaming news, there’s still no concrete solution to the GTA IV freezing problem on the PS3, which seems to only affect older models. A firmware update was released for the PS3 with “stability fixes”, but it does not relate to GTA IV, although it does add YouTube integration with a Japanese only game, which may be signs of future YouTube integration (allowing you to record and upload gameplay video, for example). Your best bet is to contact Sony support if you’re having the freezing problem, as they might have some solutions which they do not yet want to release publicly until further testing.

    And so with good timing, April’s NPD US video game sales figures have been released while GTA IV is still the topic on everyone’s lips. So did the PS3 out-sell the Xbox 360 that analysts like Michael Pachter have predicted for two months running? Unfortunately for Mr. Pachter, he was wrong for two months running as the Xbox 360 out-sold the PS3 again, although only by a thousand units. So that’s 16 out of 18 weeks since the PS3 was available in which the 360 has reigned supreme, but will they be able to keep this up as the PS3 is catching up rather quickly. But the real shock of the NPD figures was that the Wii out-sold both the 360 and PS3 combined again, and not only that, it increased its lead in a month that should have been dominated by the 360/PS3 exclusive GTA IV. Both 360/PS3 sales were actually down quite a bit, so it looked like GTA IV had no positive effect on hardware sales at all.

    NPD April 2008 Game Console US Sales FiguresOf course, April included the Easter holiday period which traditionally don’t sell well in terms of game consoles, and perhaps May will be more indicative of GTA IV led hardware sales, but the Wii express is not slowing down. In software sales, GTA IV dominated the software charts as expected, with the Xbox 360 version out-selling the PS3 by 1.85:1 also as expected (1.85 million units versus 1 million on the PS3). More information and analysis on the NPD figures in my blog post.

    Despite what looks like two victories (one clear, one not so clear), Microsoft should be a bit worried about the Xbox 360’s performance. They need to compete with the PS3 not only on content, in which they are winning both for games and their multiplayer community, but also on “coolness” of the console. Jasper based Xbox 360’s will be available soon, and after that, Microsoft plans Opus and Valhalla codenamed redesigns that should make for a quieter, cooler and more reliable Xbox 360. I can see plenty of people upgrading their 360 consoles if the new builds are indeed quieter. And perhaps when the 360 is quieter and better able to stand up to comparison with the build quality of the PS3, we will finally see that Blu-ray add-on drive. And while it’s a bit late, the Spring update for the Xbox 360 should be coming soon and you can tell because the rumours have started flying around the Net. It’s pointless to guess what’s going to be in it, since most guesses have turned out to be completely wrong. Time will tell …

    And that’s it for this week, good night and good luck.