Archive for the ‘PS3, PS4’ Category

Weekly News Roundup (9 May 2010)

Sunday, May 9th, 2010

This week marks a milestone in my Blu-ray sales stats analysis, in that I finally have two year’s worth of stats analysed, graphed, poked, prodded and posted. So it was a perfect time to post my semi-regular Blu-ray – The State of Play analysis, which looks at sales trends and see if Blu-ray’s state is healthy or not. I would like you to read the analysis, and so give this poor website another much needed pageview stat, so I won’t reveal too much here other than say that if you want to see a very clear Blu-ray sales trend developing, then look at the analysis. Also, if you want to see how Avatar did in relation to other releases, it’s all in there as well.

As for the TV I talked about in the last WNR, I did the very uncharacteristic thing of pre-ordering it without having even looked at the set with my own eyes. This is the TV in question. Our 7000 series is the same as the US 8000 series. I had a very interesting experience trying to buy the TV. Went to the the Harvey Norman store in Nunawading, this is the place that I get most of my stuff from in the past, including my what looks very much overpriced Pioneer plasma TV about 5 and a half years ago. They didn’t have the plasma in stock yet (nobody has), but I wanted to pre-order anyway, so I asked the salesperson to give me a good price after telling him the best online price that I found, and basically got into an argument. The funny thing was *I* was the one trying to convince the salesperson why I would prefer to purchase from this store, as opposed to online, as the salesperson refused to even discuss prices, saying instead that if the price I found was so cheap, I should get it from that place instead. The fact that I was still there asking for their best price even after being told they couldn’t match the lowest price I found should have been a hint to the salesperson that I really did want to buy it from their store for a reason I guess the salesperson couldn’t fathom (hence why I had to try and explain why I wanted to buy from them). Also the fact that I was there to buy something that hasn’t even been released yet, should have been a sign that I was pretty serious about it. Thinking back now, I can’t fathom why I would want to buy the TV, or any other item in the future for that matter, from Harvey Norman Nunawading again. Anyway, I went to The Good Guys next door and got a great deal on the TV, and I think I just found a new store to buy all my stuff from.

Anyway, onto the news.

Copyright

Let’s start with the copyright news. With some of the secrecy surrounding the controversial global anti-piracy treat, the ACTA, being lifted thanks to efforts by the EU, the true and proper public debate on the treaty has started, although the powers that be won’t be listening anyway.

A senior counsel at Google, Daphne Keller, has attacked the ACTA for being “gollum like”. Google has their own reasons for opposing the ACTA, which will try to fight online piracy by getting rid of the “unwanted”, which is not good for Google’s business model since they want more and more people online, not less. Keller, speaking at a Standard University conference, questions why a treaty that was supposed to be about counterfeiting and border security has been turned into an online piracy thing. And she’s right too. Obviously, interest groups have hijacked the treaty negotiations to further their own goals, and all you have to do is to look at who is in support of the current draft of the ACTA to know who are the people behind this. In unrelated news, the MPAA hailed the ACTA as an “important step forward”. Hmm …

Selectable Output Control

The MPAA may finally get the FCC to approve their plan for Selectable Output Control, or basically adding DRM to TV broadcasts

The MPAA has been busy lobbying the FCC as well, and their efforts might be about to bear fruit. The FCC is about to give in to the MPAA’s demands and allow DRM to be added to TV broadcasts. This would allow the studios to selectively turn off the output of your TV or PVR for content that they don’t think you should be able to record. The MPAA argues that this is for innovation, since it allows them to release movies to the home much faster if they didn’t have to lose sleep over people recording and distributing their precious movies. This argument appears to have worked, despite many studios already releasing movies prior to DVD releases, with no considerable effects on piracy. But one things studios love is release windows, and this is yet another one. One window for movies at cinemas with 3D, another for cinemas without 3D, another for PPV, another for DVD sales, another for Redbox rentals and then another for Netflix streaming services. This all somehow is supposed to make them more money, and the principle of artificially creating supply issues is sound if one wants to maximize profits. Except piracy does exist, and movies are put online the moment (or several just before) they are released to the cinemas, and so all these artificial barriers the studios are putting up that stops consumers from buying, only ends up helping to push people towards piracy. But that’s okay, the ACTA will be here soon to solve that problem, and then all they have to do is to figure why banning people from the Internet, and thus denying them the opportunity to buy stuff on the Internet, may end up affecting their revenue.

The Humble Indie Bundle

The Humble Indie Bundle promotes the "pay whatever you want" model for game pricing ... and NO DRM!!

While the MPAA holds the view that more DRM, more laws, are the solution, a group of independent game developers  holds the view that fairer pricing, more innovation and no DRM may be the answer to gaming’s piracy problem. Partly to also help raise funds for the EFF, who is bravely fighting our battles against the RIAA, MPAA and all those in favour of more DRM, and also the Child’s Play charity, the game developers have released The Humble Indie Bundle. The bundle includes popular games including World of Goo, Gish, Lugaru HD, Aquaria and Penumbra Overture, and instead of paying the $80 retail price for the bundle, you, the consumer gets to decide how much you want to pay for it. And not everybody is paying just the minimum either. I’m not saying that this kind of “honor system” would really work for a mainstream game, but issues of pricing, ease of use, innovation should be addressed before extremely harsh DRM is even considered. It’s a fact that high prices promote piracy, as do consumer inconvenience caused by overly harsh DRM, and yet game publishers still whine about piracy and not knowing what causes it. You can either have a high price, and high piracy rate, or you can adjust your pricing model so that people don’t have a reason to pirate the game (and get rid of DRM too) – they’re trying to have it both ways, by having high prices and then trying to defeat piracy through technical or legal means, neither method proving to have any success at all. Sell games at $5 a pop, and piracy disappears tomorrow, guaranteed. And if you take advantage of the power of the Internet in terms of cheap and wide spread distribution, then game publishers can get more people to buy their games than ever before, and still end up on top in terms of revenue. This might even work for music and movies too.

NEC has developed a new tool that can detect copyrighted video clips using only 60 frames of content, which should aid the monitoring of  “three-strikes” and YouTube type copyright filters. Another technical measure that has cost millions of dollars to develop, which will no doubt be eventually circumvented.

High Definition

Let’s go on to HD news. Avatar has been making all the right and wrong headlines recently. The wrong headlines are the ones where the new Blu-ray DRM used on Avatar caused playback problems, which had to be quickly fixed by manufacturers via firmware updates (but some were quicker than others, unfortunately).

The right headline comes this week with the sales stats becoming available and analysed here. Avatar broke all records, but only marginally above the ones held previously by the week in which District 9 was released, in terms of both market share and sales revenue. Still, the results were very impressive, especially since we’re not in the holiday sales period at the moment. It was also interesting to see Lord of the Rings trilogy Blu-ray completely disappear from the top 10 – three movies whose combined box office is greater than that of Avatar by a significant margin, being released on Blu-ray for the first time, and now being outsold by 2 year old Blu-ray releases.

Samsung 3D Bundle

In Australia, Samsung is giving away for free all you need for 3D Blu-ray

The Avatar Blu-ray release is 2D only unfortunately, much to the chagrin of Avatar director James Cameron. The 3D version won’t be here until later in the year, or possible Spring 2011. The lack of 3D content right now is a huge argument against buying 3D TVs, which is a strange statement to make by someone who has just pre-ordered one. For people who are not actively looking for a new TV, then I suggest you wait until more 3D content is available, and until 3D technology matures and drops in price, which should all happen next year. The yet unreleased Panasonic 3D plasmas will probably have better 3D quality than the current Samsungs, which is now better than when they were first released thanks for improvements made in firmware updates. So the technology is still maturing, and since there’s hardly any real 3D content anyway, you’re not missing anything by waiting. However, for those that need to buy a new TV, and I’m one of them, then at the very least, you should demo the 3D TVs, most stores should have it set up, and decide for yourself how much it is worth. For me, 2D quality, price are still far more important than 3D and other features. For the Samsung I’ve chosen, 2D quality is pretty good (not the best, I know), and the price is fantastic, and so the 3D and all the free 3D stuff Samsung are giving away just makes the deal sweeter, but I wouldn’t buy this TV if neither 2D quality nor price were attractive. Of course, even if 3D isn’t a hit right now, will you want it in the future? Calculate how long you plan to use your current TV or your next purchase, and then ask yourself whether 3D will be important to you at the end of this period, and then you can decide whether 3D is something you want to buy right now.

The Flash vs HTML5 and H.264 vs open source codec war intensified this week after Microsoft formally declared their allegiance to HTML5 and H.264. For Microsoft, it’s a no brainer because while H.264 has royalty fees, its quality and industry support cannot be questioned, nor the fact that Microsoft is one of the patent holders behind H.264. Speaking of royalty fees, there’re not excessive, and you can find it explained here. Microsoft can easily afford it. Mozilla probably could too, but they will feel it’s an unnecessary expense, and one that doesn’t fit into their open source model. Even if royalties were waived for H.264, Mozilla might still have a hard time accepting the non open-source code for decoding H.264. Meanwhile, Apple may face an anti-trust investigation into the fact that it forces developers to use Apple’s development tools, as opposed to third party tools, when developing for the iPhone/iPad. This of course means Apple can prevent developers, like Adobe, from implementing certain tools for the iPhone/iPad, such as Adobe’s Flash. Apple’s boss Steve Jobs went on a rant last week attacking Flash for being a proprietary piece of software, which it is, but Apple’s no saint on this issue either. The iPhone/iPad are very much tethered devices (and I’m not talking about the 3G Internet type of tethering), meaning you can’t really use it without tying it to Apple’s services, and Apple is cracking down on jail-breaking.

Gaming

And finally in gaming, we have a couple of Sony news. First up is great news for Sony PS3 and PSP owners worried about protecting their consoles beyond the standard one year warranty period. Sony now offers a factory extended warranty plan that you can purchase directly from them.

For $45, you can extend the warranty of your PS3 by a further year. $60 buys you a two year extension. Similarly for the PSP, you can extended the factory warranty by one year or two for $30 or $40. And I would recommend people buy the 2 year extension for the PS3 due to the firmware update drive reading problem, which although not widespread, could be potentially costly if it happens outside the warranty period ($150 per repair). So $60 is well worth the price for the extra peace of mind.

The PS3 “Other OS” story continues to ramble on, with the story that Sony may have made legal threats against Geohots, the hacker who claimed he was able to hack the latest Sony firmware to allow “Other OS” to be kept. The PS3, like the iPhone/iPad, heavily relies on services that Sony provides, such as the ability to play online, and improvements via firmware updates. This is a relatively new concept, the constant firmware updates, and having features disabled if you don’t have the latest firmware. I mean how many firmware updates did you make to the PS2? And five year ago, would have ever consider updating the firmware of your TV? But it’s common place now. And all of this means the manufacturer has more control over how you use your Internet connected devices, and they can take away features just as they can add them. Remember when Amazon removed copies of 1984 from people’s Kindle devices remotely? It’s the same thing. It’s all as if we’re just renting devices from manufacturers like Sony, and that ultimately, they have full control of what you can and can’t do with the device you’ve paid for. I think consumers need to be made aware of what could potentially happen, whether features that were present when they purchased the device will always be present.

Okay, enough ranting for this week. See you next week with more rants, ramblings and a sprinkling of news.

Weekly News Roundup (2 May 2010)

Sunday, May 2nd, 2010

Ever since my current TV’s HDMI connection broke, I’ve been looking for a new TV. I almost got a Panasonic in February before discovering the black level problem, and other factors meant that I would be wiser to wait until buying a TV later in the year. Well, it is now later in the year, and what with the 3D hype and everything, I thought it wise to get a 3D ready TV since I could then test various 3D related products, something I found hard to with with the recent review of the 3D enabled new version of PowerDVD. Here in the land down under, the only 3D TV available right now is the new Samsung range, and their pricing is extremely good and I have my eye on the 58″ (the 63″ is a bit too big for my normal viewing distance, I think). The Sony 3D range would be too expensive, and I still prefer plasma, so that leaves only the Panasonic, which the whole black level things has made me think twice about buying a Panasonic TV, plus it’s not out yet and will most likely be more expensive. So barring any unforeseen events, I’ll probably buy the Samsung 58″ (it’s the Aus 7000 series, which is equivalent to the 8000 series in the US). Plus, Samsung is giving away all sorts of free stuff with the TV, including 2 pairs of active shutter 3D glasses and a 3D Blu-ray player, and 2 further pairs plus the 3D Blu-ray version of Monsters vs Aliens for those that get the TV quickly enough. If this is a preview of the type of promotions companies are going to be running for 3D TV, then the next few months could be a very good time to purchase a new TV, even a 2D one, which I’m sure will be discounted accordingly. Anyway, let’s get to the news.

Copyright

In Copyright news, the MPAA won an important court case against The Pirate Bay in what seems like ages ago, but The Pirate Bay is still up and running, and the MPAA are not too pleased.

The Pirate Bay is still going strong despite losing court cases, so the MPAA is not happy at all

The MPAA wanted TPB to be closed down, but all the co-founders did was to close down the tracker, and the MPAA now wants the co-founders to pay the court imposed fine for not closing down TPB. TPB’s ownership issue has always confused me. I don’t know who owns it and who’s running it, but it seems the co-founders say they aren’t really involved with the website anymore, and that closing down the tracker was probably the only thing they were able to do. But as we all know, trackers are far less important than previously. The MPAA’s various actions to close down trackers has meant the development of open trackers and also decentralised tracking technologies. In other words, the MPAA’s attacks have made BitTorrent much more resilient, and shutting down Torrent download websites or a few trackers won’t really stop file sharing. Even .torrent files are somewhat unnecessary now thanks to magnet links, and DHT means you don’t even need a tracker. And, as we’ve seen in the UK, France and other countries that have adopted three-strikes type laws, people will be moving to anonymous/encrypted BitTorrent services, and this will make even monitoring downloads a hard task for the MPAA. Maybe this will make them happier, you know, ignorance being bliss and all. But somehow, I doubt it. And when this happens, when the MPAA is powerless to stop BitTorrent file sharing or even to find out what people are downloading, then perhaps they’ll redirect their efforts back to tracking down the source of these uploads. While many files are uploaded by individuals, others are done so by well known groups, and it will be hard work for the MPAA to track down and stop these groups, which is probably why they’ve been focusing on the easier job of targeting downloaders.

The Pirate Bay itself has asked for a call to arms, for its users to fight the recently passed UK anti-piracy bill. They want people to speak out against a bill that, in their eyes, is a direct assault on human rights and people’s freedom of expression. The UK general election is just around the corner, but I’m not sure people are able to use this event to protest against the bill, since both major parties seem to support the new anti-piracy measures. Maybe a shock result like the one in Sweden, where The Pirate Party won a seat in the EU parliament, will be the best result from the elections. But for those still unconcerned about the new laws, just ask yourself if you think whether it is appropriate that the government should be spying on your activities, and thus sacrificing your right to privacy, for the sole purposes of protecting the profit of multinational corporations. Don’t buy into all the crap about piracy funding terrorism and crime, because the majority of pirated content are uploaded and made available free of charge, so how would terrorists and organised crime benefit from that? Counterfeit goods, now that’s something else altogether different and it’s big business to sell fake software, movies and games. But three-strikes does absolutely nothing to stop the sale of these goods, and in fact, may promote it further as people too afraid to download pirated content online, and too poor to be able to afford the real stuff, may seek cheap counterfeit goods offline.

Showing the complete lack of class, and the arrogance that we’ve expected from them, a meeting of anti-piracy groups has produced this pearl of wisdom, that child pornography is “great”. Great as in being a great scaremongering tool to use in their efforts to lobby governments, by saying that the same network where people download the latest episode of Stargate Universe is also the same place where child porn is apparently also easily accessible. What nonsense. Based on what I’ve read, downloading of most of these deplorable images and videos are done so  on the wider Internet, through public and private forums, private networks, the “darknet”. You certainly won’t find them (or torrents for them) on The Pirate Bay, or the Mininova of old (which didn’t even allow pornographic content of any kind). And does the groups that spy on users for three-strikes even monitor the transfer of child pornography, or images for that matter, or are their filters and tools only set up to detect pirated songs and movies? It’s scaremongering, and making light of an issue that is a million times more serious than college kids downloading a copy of The Hangover, and we’ve already heard from law enforcement agencies that laws like three-strikes actually makes their job of tracking down these criminals much harder, as monitoring of ordinary citizens will force more of them to encrypt their connections to protect their privacy, making it much harder to trace, monitor the truly illegal and dangerous activities of criminals.

And despite evidence that three-strikes actually increases piracy, at least in France, the IFPI, the global trade group for the music industry, says they have evidence that music industry revenue has risen in 2009 for countries where three-strikes has been passed. In countries other than France, at least. And while music industry revenue has risen in Australia, we don’t have three-strikes here, and a federal court even ruled that ISPs are not responsible for the downloads of its subscribers. Revenue increases in the UK also has no correlation to any new government anti-piracy initiatives, which did not pass until just recently. This once again shows how far groups like the IFPI, the RIAA and MPAA will use misleading, if not entirely made up, stats to further their crusade. Overall, the music industry globally recorded a 7% drop in sales. This might sound like a bad thing, but if you have a look at all the competition for our hard earned cash these days, everything from movies to gaming, 7%, with actual growth in 13 territories, is a great result. And all the other forms of entertainment has been seriously innovating, like 3D movies for example, and Blu-ray, and of course gaming, while the music industry has mostly stood still, apart from the move towards DRM-free digital sales, which the music industry was heavily resistant at first. Had they been a bit more enthusiastic at the beginning, they would be the ones with the revenue growth, not Apple with its iTunes store.

And one should not underestimate the amount of damage DRM did for the music industry, but unfortunately, it’s a lesson that the gaming industry is unwilling to learn from. News broke this week that Ubisoft’s “alway on” DRM has been broken. It took a while, given the relatively new status of the DRM, but it’s now finally broken, for both Assassin’s Creed II and Settlers 7. So Ubisoft is now left with an expensive DRM service that they have to keep on maintaining, that does not stop piracy, and whose sole purpose now is to make the overall experience more frustrating for legitimate customers. So basically the story for every single DRM system that has been released so far. When will they learn?

High Definition

On to HD news now. Avatar has been released and by all accounts, it’s a record breaker for Blu-ray. I will have the weekly numbers posted and analysed on Tuesday in usual place, but the early numbers suggest that overall Blu-ray market share could go above 30% for the first time, and may in fact be the best selling Blu-ray title of all time, even compared to titles like The Dark Knight or Star Trek that has been selling for much longer than a week.

Avatar Blu-ray + DVD Combo Cover

Avatar should break all Blu-ray records

The only reason that Blu-ray wouldn’t reach this historic milestone is that because Avatar is so popular, the DVD version is likely to sell in huge numbers as well. However, the Blu-ray package is a combo, which includes the DVD edition, and most retailers are either only stocking the combo version, or are pricing it only slightly above the plain DVD version, I suspect this will even make non Blu-ray buyers think twice about buying the DVD only version. I mean, the combo version will be much more future proof, and paying an extra $4 to get the Blu-ray version (the current actual pricing difference between the combo and DVD editions, on Amazon.com) makes the combo version the best value.

Meanwhile, the sub-standard Lord of the Rings trilogy Blu-ray has slipped to 19th on the Amazon Blu-ray charts, just barely outselling the 3 year old nature documentary Planet Earth. I’ll leave you to come up with the conclusion for this one.

Decoding of online HD videos on Macs can now be accelerated by the GPU thanks to Adobe’s new preview version of their upcoming Flash version. Name “gala”, the preview provides GPU assisted H.264 decoding for various Macs and Macbooks. Say what you will Flash, and Apple’s Steve Jobs had plenty to say about it (more on that later), but if you want multi-platform H.264 online video support with GPU acceleration, you can’t really beat Flash at the moment, and with the new 10.1 version released in the next month or two, you’ll be hard pressed to find a computer that can’t use its GPU chip to speed up H.264 video decoding. And it’s very much needed as well, because 720p is fast becoming standard for YouTube, and 1080p YouTube videos may finally be watchable on netbooks.

But Flash is still a proprietary third party plug-in, and Apple’s Steve Jobs is not a fan at all. Citing security issues, lack of stability, poor performance for mobile computing, and of course the proprietary nature of the software, Jobs heavily criticized Flash in an open letter published on the Apple website, explaining the lack of Flash support on the iPod Touch, iPhone and now the iPad. Jobs has a point, but Flash still lacks a competent competitors, even just in the limited field of online video, let alone richer applications, and so unless Apple provides an alternative (which would still be proprietary), or if the HTML5 mess is cleaned up, Flash is still very much needed. In fact, one of the bigger criticisms of the iPad has been the lack of Flash support, so perhaps this is Apple trying to deflect some criticism against their new device. Adobe hit back quickly, saying Apple should leave it to consumers to decide whether Flash is good or not, rather than impose the decision on them by not supporting Flash on their devices. They have a point, I think. Look, in a perfect world, we would have an open standard for Flash content, but we’re not there yet. I mean, the whole HTML5 mess, which I’ve tried to explain in this forum post, is only playing into Adobe’s hands.

For PC software news, x264, the popular open source H.264 encoder, is now officially Blu-ray compliant. x264 has been able to encode H.264 clips for use in Blu-ray compilation for some time now, but it has just passed official compliance tests, and so it is quite a big deal. This now allows Blu-ray movies to be converted to DVD, and still maintain Blu-ray compliance (at least for the video stream), and thus making the disc playable in most Blu-ray players (the PS3 apart).

Gaming

And finally in gaming, more PS3 firmware related news as the latest firmware adds the first steps towards making the PS3 3D capable for gaming. The 3D gaming feature will be available around June/July, but 3D Blu-ray support is only coming later in the year, unfortunately.

In the same update, Sony also laid the groundworks for Sony VAIO PC integration, allowing VAIO PCs to access content stored on the PS3 sometimes in the future.

3D Gaming on the PS3

PS3 will have 3D gaming support added via firmware soon, but it's what's been removed from the firmware that has fans angry

But as Sony adds more features via firmware, users are still displeased at the removal of the Other OS feature. The expected class action lawsuit has been launched. I think the issue most people have with the removal of Other OS is not so much that it was an essential feature, but rather, because Sony had promoted it so heavily, and removing something like this makes people insecure about Sony’s future intentions. Sony’s “It only does everything” tagline for the PS3 is not helping people get over the fact that, well, it no longer does what it did just a few months ago. The other major issue people have is that this effectively stops development on several very promising Linux based media center packages, which can turn your PS3 into a fully fledged media center, a much better one than the default Sony solution. A good third party media center software can really help the longevity of the console, just look at the original Xbox, which is still being used today thanks to software media center mods like XBMC. So while it’s understandable that Sony removed Other OS to prevent a way in for hackers, or the development of emulators, the price of losing a competent third party media center is just too high to pay, perhaps.

And that was that for the week. I’ll have more ranting and complaining for you next week, so until then, have a good one.

Game Consoles – March 2010 NPD Sales Figure Analysis

Monday, April 19th, 2010

March is a huge month for gaming software, particularly for the PS3, with the release of the much anticipated God of War III, plus the first truly current-gen Final Fantasy game (always a big draw for the PS3, although this time, it’s no longer a platform exclusive). The PS3 has never dominated software sales, particularly the top 10, so March is an excellent opportunity for Sony to achieve this. The Xbox 360 was also the best selling home based console in February, but both Nintendo and Sony blamed stock shortages for the low hardware numbers, and it will be interesting to see if the Xbox 360 continues to hold top spot this month. The figures are from NPD, a marketing research firm that releases games console sale data every month.

The figures for US sales in March 2010 are below, ranked in order of number of sales (March 2009 figures also shown, including percentage change):

  • DS: 700,800 (Total: 41.2 million; February 2009: 563,000 – up 24%)
  • Wii: 557,500 (Total: 28.6 million; February 2009: 601,000 – down 7%)
  • Xbox 360: 338,400 (Total: 19.7 million; February 2009: 331,000 – up 2%)
  • PS3: 313,900 (Total: 12.1 million; February 2009: 218,000 – up 44%)
  • PSP: 119,900 (Total: 17.2 million; February 2009: 168,000 – down 29%)
  • PS2: 118,300 (Total: 45.5 million; February 2009: 112,000 – up 6%)
NPD March 2010 Game Console US Sales Figures

NPD March 2010 Game Console US Sales Figures

NPD Game Console Total US Sales Figures (as of March 2010)

NPD Game Console Total US Sales Figures (as of March 2010)

My prediction from last month was:

I find it hard to make one for hardware sales because of the stock shortage issue, but if I had to go out on a limb, then I say the PS3 is second, behind the DS, and above the Wii and Xbox 360. I think the Xbox 360 will come fourth, with the Wii recovering a bit. The reason I say the PS3 is going to top the other home consoles is because of two things. One is called Final Fantasy XIII, the other is called God of War III. Having two huge releases in the same month should help hardware sales, but I wonder if it isn’t better to separate these two titles, which might get into each other’s way in terms of vying for gamers’ pocket money. But what do I know. In any case, there aren’t too many new releases for either the Xbox 360 or the Wii, so Sony could really clean up in March.

So the PS3 didn’t come second, but the Wii did outsell the Xbox 360, and the two PS3 titles I mentioned did do rather well in the top 10 charts. Sony says the PS3 hardware numbers are still low due to stock shortage issues, which is a shame because they knew these two top titles were coming out and yet didn’t prepare enough hardware stock to meet demands. The Xbox 360 still managed to outsell the PS3, but it’s hard to know how much of it is due to stock shortages. And Sony did clean up in terms of software, if not in hardware.

The more cynical might say that the PS3 stock shortage will end as soon as it manages to beat the Xbox 360. But looking at the current Amazon charts, the previously sold out PS3 120GB is currently the top seller, so it might very well beat the Xbox 360, and maybe even the Wii. Certainly off the backs of two monster software releases, you’d expect the console to do well. March was a good month for Sony, more evident when we get to the software numbers, with even the PS2 recording a year-on-year sales growth. Unfortunately, PSP sales continues to slide.

For Nintendo, the Wii continues to sell poorly based on a year-on-year comparison, but there was only a 7% drop in sales, much better than the usual 40+%. The “less bad” results may also be indicative of a slight bump due to stock shortage issues being addressed. The DS continues to steamroller past all other consoles, and it had a huge title in the software charts as well, so the Nintendo eco-system is still doing well.

For Microsoft, the Xbox 360 recorded yet another monthly figure that was higher than a year ago, albeit a somewhat diminutive 2%. The console has a few exclusives to be released in the next few months, but nothing like the titles on the PS3, and so it could very well be just a matter of limping on until Project Natal is released just before the holidays. The rumour that Project Natal will be available as a bundle with the same price point as the current Elite console could very well make it a holiday time winner, especially when up against the comparatively expensive PlayStation Move (which in order to get the best experience,  requires a PS3 Eye, plus 2 Move controllers and the required nunchuck, now called the Navigation Controller). For now, if Microsoft can keep up with the year-on-year growth, then I think they will be relatively happy, even if relegated to being the least popular of the home consoles.

Moving on to software. Sony stole the show with 40% of the top 10 in terms of units sold, and having 4 titles in the top 10, both of which are records. If not for the Pokemon DS titles, the PS3 games would have dominated even more. The PS3 exclusive God of War III is finally selling like an exclusive, winning the month as the most popular title. Previous exclusives, even as recently as Heavy Rain in last month, did relatively poorly considering the number of consoles out there. Speaking of Heavy Rain, it disappeared from the top 10 altogether, which again suggests that had Sony released it earlier in February, as opposed to the very very end, then it might have had a chance to place much higher in the charts. The second big PS3 title was Final Fantasy XIII, which despite no longer being a platform exclusive, still managed to outsell the Xbox 360 version by almost two to one. With Final Fantasy being very much a PlayStation franchise, and with the PS3’s Blu-ray disc offering better quality pre-recorded visuals than the Xbox 360 version, it all goes on to explain why the Xbox 360 version didn’t sell better. The Xbox 360 did win one multi-platform war, in that Battlefield: Bad Company 2 on the Xbox 360 managed to outsell the PS3 version by almost two to one as well. There was room for one more PS3 exclusive, MLB 10:  The Show, which occupied the last spot. For the Wii, there were only two listings in the top 10, New Super Mario Bros. and Wii Fit making a return. Overall, the PS3 had 40.63% of the top 10, the Xbox 360 with 19.64% and the Wii in last place with 13.21%, the Pokemon DS titles claimed the rest.

Here’s the complete list of the top 10 software sales:

  1. God of War III (PS3, Sony) – 1,100,000
  2. Pokemon SoulSilver (DS, Nintendo) – 1,020,000
  3. Final Fantasy XIII (PS3, Square Enix) – 828,200
  4. Battlefield: Bad Company 2 (Xbox 360, EA) – 825,500
  5. Pokemon HeartGold (DS, Nintendo) – 761,200
  6. Final Fantasy XIII (Xbox 360, Square Enix) – 493,900
  7. New Super Mario Bros. Wii (Wii, Nintendo) – 457,400
  8. Battlefield: Bad Company 2 (PS3, EA) – 451,200
  9. Wii Fit Plus w/Balance Board (Wii, Nintendo) – 224,700
  10. MLB 10: The Show (PS3, Sony) – 349,200

So prediction time. I think the PS3 will outsell the Wii, in April. This is based on the strong software numbers for March, plus the stock shortage issue being resolved finally which will give the PS3 a bump in sales. While there’s no new major PS3 exclusive in April, Super Street Fighter IV will be available, and based on the non Super version of the fighting game, the PS3 version should outsell the Xbox 360 version as well. Tom Clancy’s Splinter Cell Conviction, which is a console only exclusive for the Xbox 360 (there’s also a PC version), should do well, and God of War III should still be charting. So another good month for the PS3, with better hardware numbers, but probably slightly lesser software domination, for April.

See you next month.

Weekly News Roundup (18 April 2010)

Sunday, April 18th, 2010

I managed to ramble my way through a mid-week blog post about the future of TV. The focus on fighting piracy has so far centered on stopping the flow of illegal content, and punishing those that download them. I argue that a better strategy is to provide new unique, innovative services that betters piracy in terms of providing convenience. It is true that people download pirated stuff because it’s free, but let’s admit it, they also do it because sometimes it’s just really convenient. And as I said in the future of TV blog post, if the legal outlets are not beating pirated content  on convenience (and quality), then that’s something that should be addressed. My next mad rambling will be about the future of movie viewing and collection, which came to me in a dream last night.

Copyright

There’s a few news stories to go through, so let’s get started with the copyright news. Let’s get the really really outrageous stuff out of the way first, and leave the normal level of outrageous stuff for later on.

The MPAA Is Watching You

The MPAA Is Watching You

The MPAA and RIAA has proposed several new anti-piracy measures, a wish list if you will, to the Office of Intellectual Property Enforcement. Had this list been released a couple of weeks earlier, then surely people would have guessed wrongly that this was some kind of April Fools joke, but the MPAA and RIAA are not joking around. ISP level monitoring of suspicious content, permanent blocking of websites that the MPAA/RIAA suspects may be engaging in piracy, and the “best” suggestion of all is the creation of a spyware tool that sits on users’ computers, actively scanning and deleting suspected pirated content. Note my use of “suspicious” and “suspect” – without a court of law ruling for or against, that’s what all of this is. But the copyright holders and groups like the MPAA and RIAA that represents them want allegations to become evidence, for mere suspicion to become guilt, and using the government and public resources to circumvent due process. Through money and fear based lobbying, the MPAA and RIAA can achieve its goals, and this is a real threat to everyone’s freedoms and to democracy itself. This is not an exaggeration. When they are proposing things like search and seizure of people’s laptops and MP3 players at airports due to the potential of finding pirated content on them, when they want to ban people and websites from the Internet and so cut off the most potent form of communication for their opponents, to control what people can do and can’t do in their own homes with their legally purchased items, to go as far as proposing a software that monitors people’s usage of their personal computers – these are not exaggerations. The fact that the public has been kept in the dark regarding the ACTA global anti-piracy treaty is further evidence of this threat. This nice rant by CNET blogger Molly Wood says as much, in a less mad rambolic way, in a new blog entry that’s a call to arms to stop the emerging copyright police state. “Copyright police state” describes exactly what the MPAA/RIAA is seeking to create, because it’s the only way they can ensure their future, their power, is guaranteed. Otherwise they may have to, you know, change and adapt, and that stuff is hard.

And when governments are clueless about the legislations they’re passing, then the dystopic future that we all fear becomes one step closer to reality. Case in point, the newly passed UK anti-piracy bill, passed politicians that actually think an IP address is an “Intellectual Property address”, has already been exploited by scam artists scaring people into paying “pre-trial settlements”. See, this is what happens when you pass laws that bypass due process, because without the legal checks and balances, anyone can exploit the system for their own gain, and citizens who have had their rights stripped away no longer feel able to defend themselves, and so fall prey to these sort of scams. The malware itself pretends that it is being sent on behalf of well known law firms which have been engaging in “pre-trial settlement” mailings. This isn’t the only malware out there right now pretending to be some kind of anti-piracy measure, and there’s news of one in Japan where it also asks for “pre-trial settlements”, and users face the embarrassment of having their browser history published if they do not pay up. And if they do pay up, their credit card details are stolen as a result. Well, what does that tell you about these requests for “pre-trial settlements” from legitimate organisations, in that people confuse them with genuine blackmail attempts. The good news is that yet another law firm has withdrawn from this kind of activity, due to a public backlash.

But the most frustrating thing about all of this is that it won’t stop piracy at all. There are already many techniques which exists that allows people to bypass the measures put in place so they can download pirated content to their heart’s content. And by pushing people towards these harder to monitor areas of the net, it will make piracy stronger and these short sighted measures will only end up hurting the copyright holders more in the long term.

High Definition

In HD news, PS3’s 3D Blu-ray support will not be coming until later the year. 3D will be coming to the PS3 in June, but only for 3D games. This would seem to be Sony’s way to give their and others 3D standalones a chance at retail, since I don’t think technical reasons  are what’s responsible for the delay in 3D Blu-ray support. So for early adopters, you’ll have to look elsewhere to get your 3D movie fix.

Blu-ray 3D Logo

Blu-ray 3D won't be coming to the PS3 until later in the year

Fox and Universal have made a deal with Netflix to provide more content for online streaming, but new releases will be delayed by 28 days. It’s the kind of deal Netflix and alternative distributors like Redbox have had to accept, as studios try to maximize their DVD and Blu-ray sales revenue by giving them an exclusive release window.

Speaking of alternative distributors, Seagate and Paramount are trying something new, by pre-loading movies on portable hard-drives that Seagate sells. These movies aren’t free though, they still need to be paid for and unlocked to be viewed, and as with any DRM, interoperability limitations mean these files won’t play on too many other devices. It’s an interesting idea, but the only effort that this method saves the consumer is the actual download process, which between all the DRM unlocking and the need to find a compatible player for the DRM’d file, isn’t a very inconvenient step in comparison.

The HTML5, H.264, browsers debacle continues to confuse, with Google now adding to the format confusion by making the VP8 video codec open source. Google recently absorbed On2, the company that makes the VP series of codecs. Google says that by making VP8 open source, this provides an alternative to browser makers that don’t want to pay for the proprietary H.264, but also don’t think the free Ogg Theora format is good enough in quality. If Google can convince the likes of Nvidia, ATI and Intel to provide GPU based hardware acceleration or decoding assist for VP8, then perhaps we do have a viable alternative, but it’s hard seeing anyone take on H.264, which has firmly established itself as the industry standard codec (H.264 is used by YouTube, Blu-ray, Apple, to name a few of the format’s supporters). The MPEG-LA needs to waive royalties for H.264 support for browsers, which I think is the quickest way to resolve this issue, as opposed to introducing and promoting yet another video format in VP8.

Gaming

And finally in gaming, last week I mentioned that Amazon UK refunded an user who complained the PS3 now no longer supporting the “Other OS” function, despite it being promoted as one of the features of the PS3 in Amazon’s sales description.

Sony has now officially confirmed they will not be subsidizing retailers that give out these kind of refunds, and so Amazon UK either has to continue to provide refunds out of their own pocket, or most likely, stop providing refunds. Class action lawsuit time?

And I know the March NPD figures are out, and I will post the analysis as soon as possible, probably tomorrow. The Xbox 360 lost the number one spot as expected, but still managed to beat the PS3. But Sony stole the show with a strong showing in software sales, also as expected.

That’s all for this week. Talk to you again  in 604800 seconds.

Weekly News Roundup (11 April 2010)

Sunday, April 11th, 2010

How was your week? Mine was busy, but not so much working on the website, so no mid week blog post or new articles to promote in the intro paragraph of the WNR for this week. So let’s do the most efficient thing and get straight into the news.

Copyright

Let’s start with copyright news. The Consumerist published the account of one user with the THQ/Volition game Red Faction Guerrilla, which once again is the story of how DRM prevented a legitimate paying customer from enjoying the product he/she purchased, and once again piracy became the only solution.

Red Faction Guerrilla PC DVD-ROM

Red Faction Guerrilla DRM caused user to resort to piracy

The user tried his or her best to get THQ/Volition to resolve the issue, who didn’t want anything to do with it and instead referred the user to Microsoft, which maintains one of the DRM system used by Red Faction Guerrilla. But Microsoft then asked the user to go back to THQ/Volition, and so the only solution left was to download a pirated copy of the game, just so the user can enjoy the game that he or she paid for.

First of all, it’s totally irresponsible for game publishers to bring out poorly implemented DRM and then not provide support for it. It’s exactly this kind of attitude that make buying games not worth the trouble, since you’re not getting any extra services compared to pirated version. This is especially true for PC games, most of which will barely run without crashing on half of the PCs out there, mostly due to poor programming. What is more annoying is that game publishers justify these kind of stories, which are becoming increasingly common, by saying that this prevents piracy. But does it? Only the recent Ubisoft effort has managed to stifle pirates, but it may only be a temporary reprieve. But most other forms of DRM have been comprehensively cracked, and as I’ve analysed in my PC DRM discussion blog post, the only thing DRM manages to is to give publishers a false sense of security, to make them feel like they’re doing something. The argument is that why should publishers make it easy for pirates, but the problem is that they also make it harder for legitimate paying customers. The only kind of DRM that is acceptable is one that does not cause paying customers any inconvenience – if this means that it will be less effective against pirates, then so be it. I mean, it’s like asking people to accept a lock to your front door that occasionally locks out the owner, and then rewrite the law to make it illegal to try and break the lock (so you can get into your own home). And then to add insult to injury, the lock maker refuses to offer any help in trying to fix the problem, mostly because they know they can’t do much to fix it. In the real world, nobody would accept any of this, but somehow when it comes to DRM, we’re supposed to be okay with it all.

And it’s not okay to just say “well, the user resolved the issue after downloading the pirated copy”. What that user did was still highly illegal, and he or she may get caught and face big fines, even prison – all while having tried to do the decent thing in the first place. There are now more and more firms that have been set up to take advantage of the unfair copyright laws to go after users that have attempted to download pirated content, and if the user who wrote in to the Consumerist was caught, then that would mean a double whammy – having paid for the game and then “fined” for piracy of it. Of course, the actions of these firms is another point of contention with the current set of biased copyright laws. These companies are only interested in making money, or monetizing, off piracy, not preventing it – this is not an educated guess, but it’s very much out in the open and these firms openly admit to the fact that they’re only there to take advantage of copyright laws to make a quick buck. You may call the actions of these firms legal blackmail, but as long as the law allows it, then they’re not doing anything wrong. What is wrong is a law that can find an user guilty just because they attempted to download pirated content. Up to the point an user downloads something to their computer, it could be the case where no damages has actually been made against the copyright holders. Only until that user starts to enjoy the content in question, then that’s when possible damages could have occurred, but of course only if the user has intentions to purchase the content in the first place. The situation is a little bit more complex in relation to BitTorrent, since you’re uploading while you’re downloading, so you are “making available” pirated content. But for straight HTTP downloads, this is pretty straight forward. Imagine a scenario where I download an illegal copy of a movie from RapidShare, and then upon completion, I delete the file right away without viewing it – what harm exactly did I do to the copyright holders of the movie? But even with BitTorrent, you’re only sharing small chunks of the file in question, unless you become a seeder and share the file for an extended period, you’re not contributing much at all to the sharing process (as leechers who are annoyed at the lack of seeders, will agree).

The Digital Economy Bill passes through the British House of Commons

It’s these nuances that legislation, like the recently passed UK Digital Economy Bill, do not cover sufficiently, as the people writing the laws usually often do not have a clue how the Internet works, let alone sub-networks like BitTorrent. Politicians equate the Internet with distribution channels such as books and movies, where they say censorship and monitoring needs to occur to prevent harmful content being distributed, and that copyright holders get their deserved rewards. But the Internet is really more like the telephone system. Should the government monitor your phone calls just to see if you’re talking about something wrong? And then ban you from using the phone if they find you doing something they, or rather the corporations that they serve, don’t like? It’s these real world examples that exist in which politicians should be drawing parallels with when writing new legislation, but their ignorance is exploited by lobbyist and then we get things like the DMCA and now the DEB. The DEB was passed without any serious debate, because I think the MPs involved wouldn’t know what to say even if they cared enough to say something.

And the Net Neutrality debate will be yet another one in which political entities will have the final say despite not being able to fully understand just what it’s about, the issue has come to the fore because the FCC lost a court case in which they wanted to see if they could enforce Net Neutrality standards, but it appears it is beyond their scope.Even for someone who has done reading on the issue, and generally speaking, somewhat knowledgeable on this interweb thingy, I can’t say I’m fully versed in all the arguments on this front, although I’m definitely in the “pro Net Neutrality” camp at the moment. The reason is that movie studios, via ISPs, can implement all sorts of nasty anti-piracy measures if Net Neutrality was defeated, and ISPs will have the power, whether intentionally or not, to promote preferred content and push other content aside into web “ghettos”. The highest bidder will ensure their content gets full speed access, while other content will have to share a very limited bandwidth pool, for example. ISPs are already doing this with P2P filtering and throttling, and it’s a dangerous road to go down.

The greatest thing about the Internet is that any idiot can write something (say, a weekly news roundup, for example), get it published and read by anyone, without limitations being imposed by the powers that be (ie. big media). You can’t do this on radio, and you can’t get things shown on TV unless you hand over a big wad of cash (and even then, it might not be enough). With the Internet, there’s no such limited, but if Net Neutrality is preserved, then this power to publish will be in jeopardy. While not really the same issue, but the increased frequency in which videos are being removed from YouTube due to false allegations of copyright abuse shows what could happen if your right to publish is at the hands of a powerful entity (in YouTube’s case, it’s the copyright holders and Google arbitrarily sometimes deciding whether a video stays or goes). I bring up YouTube because I want to segue to the next story about the removal of RedLetterMedia’s hilarious, accurate, and sometimes disturbing, movie reviews, the most famous (or infamous) of which is the Star Wars Episode One review. The reviews are quite long and uses a lot of footage from the movies, but this kind of fair use is allowed. The auto scanning tools used by firms that scour YouTube for copyright abuse (so they can make money off copyright holders when they take action to get the videos removed) are usually not smart enough to distinguish between genuine fair use and blatant piracy, and so this is probably why the review was removed. Luckily, they were put back up soon after, but only after much public outrage. For the videos that are not as popular, then the less audible outrage will often fail to make an impression, no matter how many times you email YouTube asking for your account to be re-enabled. And our power to publish diminishes the more big media comes to try and control our Internet.

High Definition

Let’s move onto high definition news. The Blu-ray specifications has seen some additions this week, although it’s not something that should concern most Blu-ray owners, especially those that are using Blu-ray for movie playback, as opposed to archiving and other computing based applications.

The changes are the addition of two new sub-formats to Blu-ray, called BDXL and IH-BD. BDXL increases the capacity of Blu-ray discs to 128 GB for write-once discs, and 100 GB for write-many discs. Unfortunately, BDXL is not backwards compatible with currently Blu-ray drives, and so it will unlikely be used for publishing movies. Expect BDXL to be supported by certain Blu-ray writer drives for PCs, but not used extensively except by specialist applications such as data archival. IH-BD is a similarly specialist sub-format, where the Blu-ray discs has both read-only and writable layers on the same side, allowing important data to be stored on the read-only layer, while the writable layer allows for the entry of new data. This is actually something I had expected the original Blu-ray specifications to include, since I think these kind of discs has great potential. Imagine a Blu-ray game disc that allows all the saves and changes to be made to the disc itself, and you can carry it from console to console without having to import/export your save files.

Lord of the Rings: Fellowship of the Ring Blu-ray Screenshot

Fellowship of the Ring on Blu-ray is chock full of Digital Noise Reduction, note the lack of grain in the background

The Lord of the Rings theatrical trilogy on Blu-ray has been released, and reviewed on Blu-ray.com. While the review says that it is still something people should want, they also referred to the lack of the extended edition content, lackluster extra features and poor video quality for Fellowship in particular. It is still the best quality version of the Lord of the Rings movies to date, but it isn’t the definitive version that people that had already purchased several different versions of the movie had expected. So hold on to your theatrical edition DVDs, as these can still look pretty good on a quality upscaling player, and then wait to grab the extended edition Blu-rays when they arrive later in the year, hopefully with the Fellowship video quality issues fixed. As far as I’m concerned, the Lord of the Rings movies are made for Blu-ray, and it should deserve the attention of the best of Blu-ray releases, that we known Warner are capable of producing (the Blade Runner 5-disc set, for example). Instead, they’ve been treated worse than some second rate B-movies, and keeping the extra features on DVDs in this set, instead of transferring to Blu-ray, and not even bothering creating new disc art other than to slap on the Blu-ray logo, just shows how much of a rushed effort this was. Which is strange because Warner/New Line had plenty of time to create a proper Blu-ray set. But I guess they’re saving that for the eventual quadruple dip release. The sales stats for LOTR will be available next next Tuesday, and it will be interesting to see if it was a huge seller or not. A title like this should easily be one of the best selling titles ever on Blu-ray. Right now, I can see it winning the week in terms of sales, but even that is not certain.

Lord of the Rings: Fellowship of the Ring HDTV

Lower bitrate HD broadcast version of Fellowship, without DNR problems - compared it side by side with the screenshot above

Also a note on combo discs. Blu-ray stats usually count Blu-ray/DVD combo discs as Blu-ray only, and with more studios releasing movies in a single, combo only edition  (Disney, for example), this can lead to inflated figures for Blu-ray as even those that only want the DVD version are forced to get the combo and then counted as a Blu-ray buyer in the stats. And even when a “DVD only” version is available, these are often priced not very competitively compared to the Blu-ray version (usually only a couple of dollars cheaper), and again this favours the Blu-ray stats. It would be better if combos were not counted as part of either DVD or Blu-ray stats, maybe even having their own separate stats. This would actually be quite useful when it comes to stats analysis, and may point to whether we should have more combos or not, since I think they’re a good idea and should become standard during the transition from DVD to Blu-ray.

Gaming

And finally in gaming, Sony may yet regret their decision to remove the “Other OS” option from the PS3. Some say it was due to cost cutting, as keeping up support for the “Other OS” function in every firmware update is troublesome to the extreme.

Some think the recent work towards making Linux based emulators has Sony worried about people using the PS3 to play illegally downloaded games, and maybe even emulated PS2 games. But most others feel it is an preemptive strike that those aiming to hack the PS3, and amongst the most infamous is Geohot, who has just shown us a video of firmware 3.21 (the one without “Other OS”) running Other OS.

Regardless of the reason for removing Other OS, many PS3 owners are unhappy, since this was a well advertised feature of the console, and many feel that Sony remotely removing the feature is a bad precedent that could see other features removed. One user did complain to Amazon UK, who just happened also to be a moderator at the Neogaf forum, and amazingly, he got a refund from Amazon for 20% of the cost of his PS3 purchase. He cited European laws regarding product descriptions. No doubt others will try the same, and it’s unknown if Amazon or Sony will be paying up, if they continue to do so (I suspect not).

Sony, for example, could easily disable Blu-ray playback via a firmware update, to help promote their standalone players. Of course, this is as likely to happen as Sony releasing a free PS2 emulator on Xbox Live for Xbox 360 owners, and if they do this, then expect the world’s largest and most successful lawsuit ever – full refund for all PS3 owners, yeah!

Now to a firmware update of a different, more traditional nature – you know, one that actually adds features. Xbox 360 owners will now be able to use flash drives to complement existing Xbox 360 storage, allowing things like downloadables, games saves to flash drives that have 1 GB to 16 GB capacity. A large range is supported, although Microsoft and Sandisk will be releasing “official” flash drives for the Xbox 360 (but at about double the price of non official drives). PS3 owners have had the ability to swap out the built-in hard-drive themselves without having to void their warranty, so while the PS3 storage capacity cannot be upgraded using an official solution, they’ve always been able to increase storage at an extremely low price point (compared to flash drives or the over priced Xbox 360 hard-drive add-on).

That’s it for the week. I will try to post a mid week blog or something so I won’t appear to be lazying through yet another week.