Archive for the ‘PS3, PS4’ Category

Game Consoles – June 2008 NPD Sales Figure Analysis

Saturday, July 19th, 2008

It’s that time of the month again. The June 2008 NPD sales figures are out, and there are a few interesting happenings this month. E3 has just concluded, and the Xbox 360 was the winner of this year’s event, although it wasn’t one for the books with very few innovations and surprises, not even from Nintendo. But perhaps Microsoft needed that E3, as you will find from this month’s figures the Xbox 360 isn’t doing very well, not compared to the Wii and not the PS3. Could this be the start of a new trend, or is it just a one off due to the strong software line-up Sony had in June (MGS4). Read on to find out. You can read last month’s analysis here. The figures are from NPD, a marketing research firm that releases games console sale data every month.

The figures for US sales in June are below, ranked in order of number of sales:

  • DS: 783,000 (Total: 20.9 million)  
  • Wii: 666,700 (Total: 10.8 million)  
  • PS3: 405,500 (Total: 4.8 million)
  • PSP: 337,400 (Total: 12.1 million)
  • Xbox 360: 219,800 (Total: 10.5 million)
  • PS2: 188,800 (Total: 42.4 million)
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    NPD June 2008 Game Console US Sales Figures

    NPD June 2008 Game Console US Sales Figures

     
    NPD Game Console Total US Sales Figures (as of June 2008)

    NPD Game Console Total US Sales Figures (as of June 2008)

     As you can see from the figures and graphs above, it was a great month for the PS3 (and it was pretty good in software sales too, see below). While the Wii maintained it’s high sales figures way above that of both the PS3 and Xbox 360 combined, PS3 sales exploded nearly doubling last month’s effort. Due to this, it comfortably beat the Xbox 360, again nearly twice as many sales. This should be worrying for Microsoft as 2008 has been a great year for the PS3, and a very average one for the 360. While Microsoft blamed stock shortages early on, there aren’t any excuses for the last few months.

    When put into this context, the recent price drops and the good showing at E3 is now all the more important for the Redmond based company, as it needs to regain the momentum it had last year when it trounced the PS3 for months at a time. The E3 offerings, including snatching the previously PlayStation exclusive Final Fantasy XIII from Sony’s grasps, securing a free movie streaming service for Xbox Live Gold users from Netflix, and re-designing the 360 Dashboard to try and steal some customers from the Wii.

    While Sony can be extremely pleased with recent performances, it needs to be said that June’s performance was largely, if not solely, based on the strong sales for Metal Gear Solid 4, a PS3 exclusive. This is pretty much the first PS3 exclusive title that has reached top spot on the software charts, and if Sony can bring out a few more titles like this, then it can keep the momentum going well into next year. Microsoft had a similar bumper month when Halo 3 was released, but as history tells us, it didn’t last very long. Microsoft, on the other hand, did not have any must-have releases of the same ilk, although Ninja Gaiden II did well.

    Going away from the PS3/360, the “Nintendo Family” consisting of the Wii and DS again did extremely well. The PSP also nearly doubled in sales, and it’s easy to see why Sony is concentrating on promoting the “PlayStation Family”. There is no Xbox family though, as Microsoft does not have a handheld device to compete, although one would say that the DS and PSP does seem to have the handheld market locked down.

    Let’s have a detailed look at the software charts. Sony’s dominance due to MGS4 is clear to see below, snatching 20.4% of the top 10 sales. The Xbox 360 didn’t do that much poorer though, with two titles in the top 10 and 19% of the sales. The Wii again is the winner with 35% and no less than 4 titles in the top 10. Two DS and one PS2 title rounds off the top 10, including Guitar Hero: On Tour for the DS at a high number 2 – it’s even better news for Nintendo because this was not a first party game like most of its other top 10 titles. In fact, the Wii had 2 titles in the top 10 not published by Nintendo, so there’s another criticism of the Wii crossed off the (now very small) list. I know I say this about 10 times every NPD analysis, but again it’s been a good month for Nintendo.

    1. Metal Gear Solid IV (PS3, Konami) – 774,600
    2. Guitar Hero: On Tour (Nintendo DS, Activision) – 422,300
    3. Ninja Gaiden II (Xbox 360, Tecmo/MGS) – 372,700
    4. Wii Fit w/Board (Wii, Nintendo) – 372,700 
    5. Wii Play w/ Remote (Wii, Nintendo) – 359,100
    6. Battlefield: Bad Company (Xbox 360, EA) – 346,800 
    7. Mario Kart w/ Wheel (Wii, Nintendo) – 322,400
    8. Lego Indiana Jones (Wii, Lucasarts) – 294,500
    9. Lego Indiana Jones (DS, Lucasarts) – 267,800
    10. Lego Indiana Jones (PS2, Lucasarts) – 260,300

     So that’s it for the month of June. I loathe to make a prediction next month, but with all things considered, I’m going to go for a very similar situation to this month, except PS3 sales may drop a little due to MGS4 sales dropping off. Wii to dominate, PS3 to come second, and the Xbox 360 to struggle a bit as price cuts only come into effect half way through July. See you next month.

    Weekly News Roundup (13 July 2008)

    Sunday, July 13th, 2008

    Welcome to another issue of the WNR. I finally updated WordPress to the latest version over the week, and the admin interface is looking much better than before. Let’s not waste any time, here’s the news for the week.

    CopyrightStarting with copyright news, the RIAA’s witch-hunt against a home health aide who has never even used a computer was finally dropped, after three years of pursuit. If it takes three years for the RIAA to realise that someone who has never used a computer before can’t possibly be guilty of downloading music, just what other mistakes are they making in their pursuit of copyright violators? Viacom’s contined assault on YouTube/Google has caught the ire of YouTube users, who are posting protest videos on the video sharing site.

    YouTube TargettedA study says that 1 in 3 people break the law by ripping DVDs. I don’t know who commissioned the study, but I suspect it is perhaps a company that would profit from a scare campaign that scares content owners into adding more DRM to their content. I say 1 in 3 people probably don’t even know their computers can play DVDs. A solution to this problem is to put a “copy tax” on blank media and disc writing hardware, to basically fine you for things you might do which may not illegal at all under the fair use provisions. Japan has recently decided against adopting an iPod tax, but that was mainly due to bureaucratic reasons, rather than a reaction to genuine public opposition. I don’t know about you, but I don’t want to be classified a pirate before I even buy a blank disc or an iPod.

    Digital DownloadsBut perhaps the biggest threat to the movie industry is not pirated downloads, but rather, legal downloads, which is cheaper but also makes less profit. That’s certainly what another study says, that digital downloads will dent Hollywood’s bottom line. I think this is inevitable, and the trick would be to get more people to buy downloads, rather than pirate them … you can do that by making prices fairer, and the increased number of buyers should then help make up for any loss in revenue. The traditional disc will still be sold for those who cannot download or still want a physical medium to enjoy their movies on.

    High DefinitionIn HD news, Pioneer demonstrated a massive 16 layer Blu-ray disc that can store 400 GB of data. Not sure I would want 400 GB of my data to be stored on a single easily damaged or lost disc, and given the price of current Blu-ray media, such a disc would cost hundreds of dollars (if it is capable of being mass produced, and not just a lab experiment). External HDD storage is still much cheaper, safer and flexible (not to mention faster in file read/write) – you can get 1 TB drive for a third of the cost of a Blu-ray burner drive, for example.

    Blu-ray Profiles - image curtesy of audioholics.comSony is touting the new interactive elements of Blu-ray (funny how they made fun of the very same elements in HD DVD, and called it a gimmick, during the HD format war). But some of their statements in regards to future Blu-ray interactive features requiring possibly new hardware profiles is a bit disturbing. Many people are now contemplating upgrading their 1.1 players to 2.0, but if a new profile is coming out (and I’m not talking about the audio only profile 3.0), then when does the upgrade stop? I really don’t want to upgrade my HT equipment as frequently as I update my computer, because unlike computers, it’s very hard to find a HT component that’s exactly right for your system – having to do so every 2 or 3 years will be a (very expensive) pain in the butt.

    GamingAnd finally in gaming, Sony’s PlayStation site was hacked earlier in the week. Don’t know how this affects PS3 users, but it never felt right that the PS3 has a web browser but no anti-virus or firewall software (and the PS Store used to be just a website, as opposed to a fully closed system like Xbox Live). The PS3 2.40 firmware debacle was also resolved this week, after a fully working and non corrupting 2.41 version of the firmware was released. The lesson, of course, is to wait before applying new updates and let someone else be the guinea pig. PlayStation Home is still awaiting release, but there is a semi-confirmed date of a northern hemisphere fall/autumn release this year. There is also a rumour of a new PS3 model coming in September, but I don’t know if these last two news items are related or not.

    What is certain is that the PS3 will not be getting a price drop anytime soon, while the Xbox 360 is gearing up for one just around the corner. The PS3 may also get a new motion sensing controller like the Wii, and the Xbox 360 will get one too. If the Xbox 360 can tie in the new Wii like controller with cheap HD motion sensing games downloadable from Xbox Live, then there might be a market there … Wii games are quite expensive, and not in HD, and for a quick spot of arcade action, the Xbox Live cannot be beat – add in a motion sensing controller, then that might be interesting. If not, then playing a Star Wars lightsaber game with such a controller would be ace.

    That’s all the news that caught my eye this week. I’m sure I’ve missed plenty of important news items, but what can you do. See you next week!

    Weekly News Roundup (6 July 2008)

    Sunday, July 6th, 2008

    I almost forgot about Digital Digest’s 9th birthday on Friday. It was 9 year and 2 days ago that I secreted the very first version of Digital Digest onto the World Wide Web. I chose an easy to remember day to launch the site (4th of July), so I would not forget the site’s founding anniversary. But I still forgot. Mainly because I don’t live in the US I think so 4th of July is just another day here. Anyway, 9 years and 2 day of hair pulling later, here we are. Yeah!

    Anyway, back to the news roundup.

    CopyrightLet start with copyright news, while I will talk more about it in the HD section, but out of the news that Toshiba was going to pursue an updated version of the DVD specifications (basically turn HD DVD into DVD 2.0), there was an interesting tidbit about adding managed copy for DVDs. This is something Microsoft has demanded for a while now. Imagine Windows Vista Media Center that plays all your DVDs copied and stored on your PC (or external networked drive) – no need for discs, no need to search your library and find that movie you want to watch … everything at the click of a few remote buttons. Digital Copy Included - Managed Copy in it’s current formManaged copy will allow movies to be copied but still retain DRM, as to prevent piracy – I think that’s a good compromise for those of us who want to “digitize” our DVD libraries. On the other end of the “fair use” spectrum is the MPAA’s latest attempt to prevent movie piracy, by introducing a new form of movie distribution using a system called DreamStream. Because this is a streaming service, and not a download one, the actual movie doesn’t end up on users’s systems (the cache is probably encrypted probably to prevent ripping of the movie through the cache). What this will mean for Internet congestion and bandwidth costs, one can only imagine. Remember that these are the same people who thought that disposable DVDs was a good idea without any environmental impact as millions of discs are thrown away every year under that system.

    The fight against YouTube continues from Viacom (no doubt with support from other studios). The judge in the case has now demanded Google hand over logs of which users watched what, when and where, to Viacom. Will the fight against piracy lead to the death of privacy instead?

    High DefinitionIn HD news, the BD-Live/Profile 2.0 push is continuing, with both Sony and Disney make sure all their future releases will be Profile 2.0 enabled. Of course, this doesn’t mean that these movies won’t play on your Profile 1.0 or 1.1 player, just that if you want to get best out of what you’ve paid for, you’ll need Profile 2.0. It’s all a bit confusing and ultimately unnecessary, but what can you do? BD-Live LogoMy last blog post talked about two polls I ran on the site which basically told me what I already knew, that Blu-ray was too expensive (and hardware more so than movies). Another threat to Blu-ray is gaming, and a new report has just come out showing that the gaming industry is now bigger than the DVD (and Blu-ray) industry in terms of revenue.

    DVD Download DL LogoStill not fully satisfied being the loser of the format war, Toshiba is trying to start a new war with their DVD 2.0 format, which adds a lot of the features found on HD DVD onto the DVD format. The video will be at a lower resolution than Blu-ray, a sacrifice necessary to fit HD movies onto DVD. There is also something called DVD Download DL, which I’m not quite sure what it’s all about. I think it will be some kind of downloadable DVD service, given that the interactive HDi elements found on HD DVD (and DVD 2.0) can be used as both a download platform (to download the movies) as well as the usual interactivity element (menus …). It’s an interesting project, but you cannot see Blu-ray backers supporting this format unless they see no future for Blu-ray, in which case, they won’t have been Blu-ray backers in the first place. Of course, Toshiba through the DVD Forum can push through a format and make it mandatory for any manufacturer making DVD players to adopt this new format – including Blu-ray backers. Heavy handed, but effective, as this would mean all Blu-ray players will have to have DVD 2.0 support, or they will have to remove DVD playback functionalities altogether (ie. commit marketing suicide).

    Nvidia GeForce GTX 280 with GP-GPUBut regardless of whether DVD 2.0 wins or if Blu-ray beats Toshiba again, H.264 will be one of the codec that will be used for encoding the video. H.264 encoding is a painful process at the moment, because a typical 2 hour movie will take 10+ hours even on the fastest PCs. But Nvidia will try to reduce this to less than 30 minutes with their new range of graphics cards that has GP-GPUs (General Purpose GPUs). Basically, these are graphics card that have GPUs that can also act as CPUs for purposes such as H.264 video encoding. And because GPUs have optimized architecture designed to speed up these sorts of processing, the encoding speed will jump through the roof. A x264 encoder with GP-GPU support would be a very nice thing to have.

    GamingAnd finally in gaming news, PS3’s much awaited 2.40 firmware update with support for in-game XMB and trophies has hit a hitch. It has been pulled because it caused corruption problems, and so some more testing and waiting will be needed before PS3 users can enjoy the new features, which are really just a rip-off of Xbox 360’s in-game Dashboard and Achievements. PS3 2.40 FirmwareThe 360 launched with Achievements enabled, and a strict system that governs how each game will provide Achievements and Gamerpoints. Unfortunately for the PS3, this is not possible as Trophies is more of an after-thought. So if you want trophies in games you’ve already finished, you’ll have to play through them again as Trophies aren’t retroactive, for example.

    In 360 land, Microsoft is planning to have a series of price cuts around the world (it’s already official here in Oz). The rumours of a new 60 GB version of the console won’t go away either, as are the rumours of a motion controller. There is now even a rumour that a new Dashboard update will make it controllable using motion controls, much like how computers were operated in Minority Report by Tom Cruise.

    RipBot264 - Encode SettingsThat’s it for this week, more of the same next week probably. In the meantime, don’t forget to read my new guide: RipBot264 PS3, Xbox 360 H.264 Encoding Guide – it makes encoding H.264 for the PS3 and Xbox 360 very simple indeed. So easy in fact, that the new Quantum of Solace trailer I made was made using this method. Try it out for yourself, although I recommend you start with a very short clip as encoding can take hours.

    Weekly News Roundup (29 June 2008)

    Sunday, June 29th, 2008

    Welcome back to another edition of WNR. Not a hugely busy week in terms of news, but still some interesting bits and pieces to chew on. Let’s not waste any time and get to it.

    CopyrightStarting with copyright news, in the war against torrents, torrent site The Pirate Bay are upping security measures by introducing encryption. This is mainly due to new laws in Sweden which came into effect last week that allows the government to spy on private communications, including Internet traffic. It was always a matter of time before technology makes torrent downloading impossible to track and stop. EliteTorrentsThe whole idea of torrents itself was to de-centralize file sharing so it cannot be stopped, and encrypted communications channels and privacy filters is just the next natural step. But the war goes on for now and in the courts, the MPAA has scored another victory, this time against torrent site EliteTorrents.

    DRM is still refusing to die, but progress is being made to make it a bit fairer. Microsoft is the latest to come out with a new piece of software for Xbox 360 owners that allows DRM’d content to be moved to another 360 box, which was previously not possible before.

    High DefinitionOnto HD news now, here in Australia, Blu-ray is in a good position as the PS3 is the leading console here, not the Xbox 360 as in Europe or the US/Canada. Of course, Blu-ray prices are still high, for both hardware and software, and not just high compared to DVDs, but high compared to Blu-ray pricing elsewhere in the world. A local newspaper here has written a piece that urges users to wait before investing in a new Blu-ray player, as better and cheaper stuff will be coming soon. It does make sense, because Profile 2.0 players will soon become the norm, which will drive down prices of Profile 1.1. players, and it’s only a matter of time before Chinese manufacturers get in on the act. In the meantime, it might be worth studying just what else you will need to upgrade to Blu-ray. You can of course read my Blu-ray (and HD DVD) Buyer’s Guide, but Dolby has released their own guide which, obviously, concentrates on their new high bitrate audio formats designed for Blu-ray. Dolby TrueHDThe audio aspect of Blu-ray is something that will confuse quite a few people, with nearly a dozen new audio formats and output combinations to contend with. The short answer is to get an AV receiver that supports HDMI audio input, and that will almost always give you support for all the new audio formats, in combination with a proper Blu-ray player that can decode everything to PCM first.

    There’s a bit more movement on the PC front too, which to be honest, hasn’t seen the mass acceptance that DVDs received at this stage, despite prices being lower. PowerDVD is now certified for BD-Live (Profile 2.0) and AVCREC (HD on DVD, using MPEG-4 AVC).

    But Blu-ray has to hurry before other distribution methods start eating into its market share. There’s a whole bunch of news about new download services, even including one from Sony, so there’s an obvious trend towards that kind of distribution. Sony has struck a deal with DivX to provide movie downloads for Sony products (PS3, PSP, most likely). It will be DRM’d, but the DRM is user based, not device based, so movie files can be moved from place to place without problem. Netflix Instant WatchThe PS3 will get the movie download service soon in the US, and then later on in Europe and Japan. So if even Sony is investing heavily into downloads, you can see why other analysts might question the future viability of Blu-ray. Netflix recently launched their own download service, requiring a hardware box from Roku. But Xbox 360 owners can now get around this hardware requirement through a Media Center plugin, and get access to Netflix’s services. Official support for Netflix services might be on the way too.

    GamingAnd in gaming news, Sony has revealed figures showing that the PS3 has cost them $3.32 Billion so far. That figure is still growing though, as every PS3 sold still loses money for Sony. Even Microsoft, who launched the 360 a full year before the PS3, has only just started making a profit, despite having superior software sales which is the real money earner in the industry. The PS3 will get a new graphics chip soon, which might help reduce costs a bit. And there is news of the upcoming 2.40 firmware, which promises to be a big one that finally adds in game XMB and a bunch of other features that Xbox 360 users have taken for granted.

    ITC One - $25,000 Xbox 360, Wii and iPod all-in-oneThe Xbox 360 might get a price drop soon, to take it below $USD 300. That should help recent flagging sales. On the other end of the scale, you can now buy a custom made Xbox 360, that also plays Wii games and acts like an iPod, for as little as $25,000. Hope this one doesn’t RRoD after 3 month!

    I think that’s all for this week. I’ll be back next week with more WNR, unless posting news is outlawed by the MPAA before then. See you then.

    Weekly News Roundup (22 June 2008)

    Sunday, June 22nd, 2008

    Got quite a few things lined up today, so won’t spend the usual 30 minutes sitting in front of the computer thinking up of a good introduction (yes, it takes me *that* long!). The best I could come up with when time is that critical is: Hello World

    (programmers will know what “Hello World” means, but don’t worry, it’s not supposed to be meaningful or funny)

    CopyrightLet’s start with copyright news. Did I mention I was short of time today? Virgin Media, an ISP in the UK, will now spy on its users to detect potential piracy and protect music industry profits. What else will they spy on, you have to wonder. Across the channel, France is also threatening to crackdown on Internet Piracy, and plans to set up a new agency to also spy on user’s downloading habits. Big Brother in action here, but I’m sure someone is already spying on your Internet habits for the fight against terrorism or other viable excuses. But maybe none of this is needed, as the MPAA claims that no evidence should ever be required to sue someone for piracy. Because the MPAA is always right, you see, and they never ever make any mistakes, you see, and people who downloaded a movie should get a $150,000 fine without the MPAA having to proof anything, you see.

    Rarely do I put good news in this section, but there are in fact two pieces of good news this week. First is Microsoft’s reversal of a decision which say their MSN music store bought DRM’d files become unplayable because validation servers were shut down. Microsoft will now keep these servers up until 2011, which should give people plenty of time to find a way to crack the DRM. Good news for PC fans, as the PC version of BioShock will have its controversial and troublesome DRM removed. Sales stats show that games with lots of copy protection does not necessarily sell better than games without copy protection. Just like with music. This is mainly because most forms of copy protection can be easily broken, and also games without copy protection garners greater community support for buying the game (“Sins of a Solar Empire”, is one example). Both types of games will get pirated anyway.

    BioShock for the PCBut is piracy really a bad thing? Not according to piracy-evangelists, Sony, who finally admits that piracy has helped them sell lots of PSPs. I think most companies know that piracy helps just as much as it hinders, and without it, products often fail. Think PCs, DVDs, PlayStations, Nintendo DS and how easy it is to get pirated content on these platforms, and think of the competitors that failed and how hard it was to get pirated content on those platforms, and you begin to see a pattern. Also coming out of Japan and related to Sony, as well as the next section of this news update, Japan plans to put a piracy tax on Blu-ray disc recorders and blank discs. Yes, I’m sure doing this will greatly help reduce the high cost of Blu-ray recording, and I’m sure it will help Blu-ray catch up and replace DVD’s lead in this area.

    High DefinitionOnto HD news now, and I must really stress on the fact that I have to leave very soon. Lots of positive news for Blu-ray, or is that positive spin, I don’t really know anymore. Studio presidents are claiming, or hoping, that Blu-ray sales will reach $1 Billion dollars in 2008. DVDs sell this much every two months, by the way. Blu-ray take-up is faster than DVD’s at the same time in the development phase, but only European figures are available or quoted, which makes me suspicious. Plus, this is only significant if Blu-ray follows the same pattern of growth as DVD, which I highly doubt since DVD saw an explosion of mass consumer uptake (after a rather quiet start), and I doubt Blu-ray will see something similar, since it’s not a revolutionary format, merely an evolution one. And it appears I’m not the only one that thinks that, as a research study comes up with pretty much the same prediction: that Blu-ray’s win over HD DVD may be hollow. Blu-ray LogoThe study makes several very valid points, including a lot based on similar formats in the past and their performances, plus future distribution methods for movies which will slowly destroy the optical disc as the most preferred method. Video-On-Demand and truly interactive TV, is something that I think will take on both the notion of the traditional TV broadcast, as well as the necessity to buy and keep lots of movies for “on demand” viewing. When I read the next article’s headline, I thought that they were trying to say the same thing too, but I was wrong. The article with headline Interactive TV: Blu-ray’s Worst Enemy was actually about the Profile 2.0 features for Blu-ray (Internet connectivity), and how this is causing problems for studios when creating discs that need to be compatible with players that do not support Profile 2.0. A problem that could have easily been avoided though, simply by having one mandatory profile that supports everything, much like DVDs.

    GamingAnd finally in gaming, sorry, but I really have to go now as people are waiting for me. But before I go, I will tell you about how the PS3 will beat the PS2 in hardware sold, as least according to Sony (a lot of “according to Sony” in this edition). It’s going to take a while, or something unexpected to occur, before it happens though (127 million versus 13 million, is the current score). But an in-game XMB (finally!) and “Trophies” (Xbox 360’s Achievements copied) will certainly help the PS3 sell more units, when these additions arrive in the next major firmware update. Wii DamageWii Fit, following the fine example set by Wii Sports early on, is causing millions of dollars of collateral damage when people play. The Wii really does help the economy in more than one way, doesn’t it? How many windows, doors, coffee tables, LCD screens, desk lamps and other such things has the Wii caused to be replaced, and hence, improve the economy? Wii-insurance might be the next big thing, you know.

    Ok, I really have to do now. I’m sorry I’m in such a hurry today, but you know how things are. Oh wait, Star Trek: TNG is on TV now … it’s a season 3 episode I haven’t seen in a long time … might just sit down and watch for a bit, I’ll call and tell people that I’m going to be a bit late. Checks TV guide. Voyager, DS9 and Enterprise on next? A Star Trek marathon? Awesome! Maybe I will have to cancel my plans, since how often does a Star Trek marathon happen anyway (twice a month, at most!).

    I’m such a geek …